March Update on the 2026 Boston Marathon Cutoff Time Projection

Scenes from the 2024 Boston Marathon

For the past few months, I’ve been tracking the results of marathon finishers around the world in an attempt to project the cutoff time for the 2026 Boston Marathon. I put together a live tracker, and I published an early analysis in December and a follow-up in January. The emerging picture suggested that the new qualifying times reduced the … Read more

The 2025 Tokyo Marathon: Three Interesting Data Insights (Plus More)

Feature photo by nakashi on Wikimedia Commons — CC BY-SA 2.0. Scenes from the 2024 Tokyo Marathon This past weekend was the Tokyo Marathon — the first Abbott World Marathon Major of 2025. Last year was an exciting one for the series: So what does this year have in store us? The 2024 Tokyo Marathon was exciting in its … Read more

Is the Age Distribution at the Boston Marathon Representative?

The finish at the 2022 Boston Marathon, with many Masters runners coming across the finish line.

Last week, I published an analysis of the new Boston Marathon qualifying times. That analysis quite clearly shows that the qualification rate – the percentage of runners in a given age group who run a qualifying time – increases with age. A few age groups in particular – 45-49, 60-64, and 65-69 – had disproportionately … Read more

How Is the Average Age of Marathon Runners Changing in 2024?

This weekend, I published an analysis of the new Boston Marathon qualifying times – and whether they hit certain age groups harder than others. As I concluded that analysis, I noticed that the distribution of runners in the Boston Marathon and across all marathons in the United States were quite different. The 45-49 age group … Read more