2026 Boston Marathon Cutoff Time Tracker and Prediction

An updated tracker, focused on the 2027 Boston Marathon cutoff time, is now live.The BAA announced the cutoff time for 2026 would be 4:34. Here’s a reflection on their announcement, along with my latest prediction and my original prediction. The Tableau dashboard below collects data from marathons, tracks the number of finishers who meet their … Read more

Valencia Marathon Revisited: Comparison to Fast Races That Aren’t Majors

Black and white photo of runners in a marathon

Last week, I published a brief analysis of the Valencia Marathon’s field – comparing it to other large races like Berlin, Chicago, and London. The takeaway – the Valencia Marathon has more sub-3:00 finishers than any other race in the world. Drilling down to young men, it has a very high percentage of runners going … Read more

How Fast Were the Finishers At the 2024 Valencia Marathon?

The Valencia Marathon has a reputation for being fast. Still, I was a surprised when I saw a headline that there were over 5,000 runners finishing sub-3:00 at this year’s race. Just how fast was this year’s Valencia Marathon? Most of my data analysis has focused on American marathons, plus the Abbott World Majors. Although … Read more